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AI-Driven Modeling of Vehicle Dynamics

Overview

Vehicle dynamics include car-following and lane-changing. The corresponding models are cornerstones for understanding driver behavior, traffic dynamics, and supporting autonomous driving.

As early as 2014, at the dawn of the deep learning era, my team proposed an innovative kNN-based data-driven car-following model. This model has been cited more than 200 times, and it is widely recognized as one of the first AI-driven car-following models by review articles published by scholars from institutions such as the University of California, Berkeley (Zhang et al., 2025), the University of Washington (Chen et al., 2023), Imperial College London (Rowam et al., 2025), Tshinghua Univeristy (Xie et al., 2026)

In 2019, my team developed the first deep-learning-based lane-changing model using DBN and LSTM neural networks, which has since been cited over 300 times and is widely recognized in subsequent research (Siebke et al., 2023; Han et al., 2024; Wang et al., 2024; Huang et al., 2025 ) as a pioneering contribution to AI-driven modeling of driver behavior and traffic dynamics.

Our recent work combines AI with interpretable stochastic modeling to capture driver heterogeneity across behavioral regimes and context-dependent uncertainty in car-following behavior. These complementary frameworks support more realistic, uncertainty-aware traffic simulation and safety evaluation.

Slides

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Publications

A Simple Nonparametric Car-Following Model Driven by Field Data
Zhengbing He, Liang Zheng, Wei Guan · Transportation Research Part B: Methodological · 80:185–201 · 2015
On the Impact of Prior Experiences in Car-Following Models: Model Development, Computational Efficiency, Comparative Analyses, and Extensive Applications
Yang Yu, Zhengbing He, Xiaobo Qu · IEEE Transactions on Cybernetics · 53(3):1405–1418 · 2023
A Data-Driven Lane-Changing Model Based on Deep Learning
Dong-Fan Xie, Zhe-Zhe Fang, Bin Jia, Zhengbing He* · Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies · 106:41–60 · 2019
Modeling Car-Following Behaviors Considering Driver Heterogeneity: A Multi-Regime Stochastic Framework
Shubo Wu, Dong Ngoduy, Zhengbing He, Yajie Zou, Jian Sun · Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies · 179:105282 · 2025
When Context Is Not Enough: Modeling Unexplained Variability in Car-Following Behavior
Chengyuan Zhang, Zhengbing He, Cathy Wu, Lijun Sun · Transportation Research Part B: Methodological · 214:103588 · 2026 (26th ISTTT Oral Presentation)